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Beryl to make landfall in Texas as a hurricane on Monday, storm surge, flood warnings issued

Hurricane warnings issued on Texas coast from Baffin Bay to San Luis Pass. Storm surge warnings from Matagorda Bay to Galveston.

USA TODAY NETWORK - Florida
  • On July 1, 2024, Beryl made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane on Carriacou Island, Grenada.
  • On Friday, July 5, 2024, Beryl made landfall near Tulum, Mexico, on the Yucatan Peninsula as a Category 2 storm.

Beryl is set for a threepeat: The storm already made landfall twice in a week and it's set for a third landfall, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

The hurricane center continued issuing advisories on女优appTropical Storm Beryl. Hurricane warnings are in place along Texas女优appahead of Beryl, which is女优appexpected to be a hurricane女优appnear landfall.

At 11 p.m. EDT Sunday, the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was 75 miles south-southeast of Matagorda, Texas, and 110 miles east of Corpus Christi, Texas, with maximum sustained winds at 70 mph. Beryl was moving north-northwest at 10 mph.

The hurricane watch from San Luis Pass to Port Bolivar has been upgraded to a hurricane warning.

The hurricane warning south of Mesquite Bay has been changed to a tropical storm warning.

The tropical storm warning south of Baffin Bay has been discontinued.

The storm surge warning has been discontinued from Mesquite Bay to Port Aransas.

Other than Beryl, as of 11 p.m. Sunday, July 7, tropical cyclone formation was not expected during the next 7 days.

How fast did Beryl form? What do we know about landfall?

From Invest 95L to女优appBeryl: As we track Beryl's path, here's a look back at the tropical storm that strengthened into a hurricane and made landfall twice in one week. Experts女优apppredict Beryl to make landfall a third time女优appas a hurricane.

Hurricane season runs June 1 to Nov. 30, with the busiest part of the season between August and October.

  • On Friday, June 28, 2024, the女优app女优appissued advisories on "Invest 95L." At 11 p.m. June 28, the tropical cyclone became女优appTropical Storm Beryl.
  • On Saturday, June 29, the National Hurricane Center reported Beryl strengthened into女优apphurricane status女优appby 5 p.m.
  • On Monday, July 1, Beryl was a powerful Category 4 hurricane that hit女优appCarriacou Island, Grenada,女优appwith 150-mph winds. The photo below by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows Beryl at landfall days ahead of the July Fourth holiday.
Hurricane Beryl makes landfall on Carriacou Island with 150-mph winds July 1, 2024.
  • On Tuesday, July 2, Hurricane Beryl strengthened into a女优appCategory 5 storm女优appwith 165 mph winds.
  • On Friday, July 5, Beryl weakened into a tropical storm, but made landfall near Tulum, Mexico, on the Yucatan Peninsula as a Category 2 storm, according to the National Hurricane Center. That was Beryl's女优appsecond landfall女优appin a week. By then, the storm was moving ashore as a Category 2 with 110-mph winds.
  • On Saturday, July 6, Tropical Storm Beryl was projected to become a hurricane when it makes landfall (potentially the storm's third) in northeastern Mexico or女优appsouthern Texas女优applate Sunday into Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center.
  • On Sunday, July 7, Tropical Storm Beryl was expected to strengthen into a hurricane and make landfall on the coast of Texas on Monday morning.

While Florida won't be directly affected by Beryl, the hurricane center warned of life-threatening surf and dangerous女优apprip currents女优appassociated with the storm along the Gulf Coast, from Florida to Mexico.

Here's the latest update from the NHC as of女优app 11 p.m. Sunday, July 7:女优app

Spaghetti models: Where will Hurricane Beryl go next?

Special note about spaghetti models:女优appIllustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.听

How could Hurricane Beryl affect Florida?

Hurricane Beryl is expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip currents to the entire U.S. Gulf Coast.

Large swells generated by Beryl are expected to reach much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. 女优app including all of Florida's West Coast and Panhandle. The swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Watches, warnings issued across Florida

Hurricane Beryl: What you need to know

  • Location: 75 miles south-southeast of Matagorda, Texas, and 110 miles east of Corpus Christi, Texas
  • Maximum sustained winds: 70 mph
  • Movement: north-northwest at 10 mph

Watches and warnings issued for Tropical Storm Beryl

A storm surge warning is in effect for:

  • Mesquite Bay to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and GalvestonBay

A hurricane warning is in effect for:

  • The Texas coast from Mesquite Bay northward to Port Bolivar

A tropical storm warning is in effect for:

  • The Texas coast south of Mesquite Bay to Port Mansfield
  • The Texas coast north of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass

Hurricane Beryl: Here's latest information on strength, forecast path

At 11 p.m. Sunday, the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 95.6 West. Beryl was moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph. A turn toward the north was expected overnight. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl was expected to make landfall on the middle Texas coast early Monday. Beryl is forecast to turn northeastward and move farther inland over eastern Texas and Arkansas late Monday and Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane before it reaches the Texas coast early Monday. Significant weakening is expected after landfall.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center.

How strong is Tropical Storm Beryl and where is it going?

Here's how strong Beryl is expected to get:

  • Currently:女优app60 mph
  • 12 hours:女优app65 mph
  • 24 hours:女优app75 mph
  • 36 hours:女优app85 mph
  • 48 hours:女优app70 mph, inland
  • 60 hours:女优app40 mph, inland
  • 72 hours:女优app30 mph, inland
  • 96 hours:女优app25 mph, post-tropical, inland
  • 120 hours:女优app25 mph, post-tropical/inland

Key messages from the National Hurricane Center: What you need to know about Hurricane Beryl

  • There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation late Sunday night and Monday along the coast of Texas from the north entrance of Padre Island National Seashore to San Luis Pass. Residents in that area should follow any advice given by local officials and fellow evacuation orders.
  • Beryl is forecast to bring damaging hurricane-force winds to portions of the lower and middle Texas coast late Sunday into Monday. A hurricane warning is now in place from Baffin Bay to Sargent. Preparations should be rushed to completion before tropical storm conditions begin late Sunday.
  • Flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally considerable, is likely across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas beginning late Sunday through the middle of next week. River flooding is also possible.
  • Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through the weekend across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed warning flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials before venturing into the water.

What impact could Hurricane Beryl have and what areas could be affected?

What is storm surge?Graphics explain the deadly weather event

Wind: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area by early Monday. Winds are first expected to reach tropical storm strength by late today, making outdoor preparations difficult or dangerous.

Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas by early Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning by tonight.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning areas in Texas and northeastern Mexico by tonight.

Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in Texas by tonight.

Storm surge: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide.

  • Mesquite Bay, Texas, to San Luis Pass, Texas: 4 to 6 feet
  • Matagorda Bay: 4 to 6 feet
  • Sargent, Texas, to San Luis Pass, Texas: 3 to 5 feet
  • North entrance of Padre Island National Seashore, Texas to Mesquite Bay: 3 to 5 feet
  • Corpus Christi Bay: 3 to 5 feet
  • Mouth of the Rio Grande, Texas, to north entrance of Padre Island National Seashore: 2 to 4 feet
  • High Island, Texas, to Sabine Pass, Texas: 2 to 4 feet
  • Galveston Bay: 3 to 5 feet
  • Sabine Pass, Texas, to Cameron, Louisiana: 1 to 3 feet

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

Rainfall: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas beginning today through Monday night. This rainfall will produce areas of flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally considerable. Minor to isolated moderate river flooding is also expected.

Tornadoes: A tornado threat will likely develop this evening into tonight for portions of the middle and upper Texas coast.

Surf: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next few days. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

When is the Atlantic hurricane season?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

Hurricane season's ultimate peak is Sept. 10 but the season goes through Nov. 30. Credit: NOAA

The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

National Hurricane Center map: What are forecasters watching now?

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:

Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city

Excessive rainfall forecast

What's next?女优app

We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our女优app.听